Make sure to get your predictions in for the Broncos’ second Monday Night Football matchup of the season, this time in San Diego against the Chargers.
Last week, the Broncos fell to the New England Patriots 31-21. Here are the results of the predictions:
ERK came in first with his prediction of 31-24. Bud Buecher gets second-place points for his 30-24 prediction, and still1972 and oldsouthstander tied for third with a guess of 31-27.
Below are the updated standings for the season:
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RANK
1
2
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
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BLOGGER
The Dane
baylinorcrush
Bud Buecher
caramelloo
ERK
Jake
Jamie A007
Keith Kahler
Orange Crush
Nick
Barnstormer
bfree2bronc
lonewolf7
MileHighDoom
TCM
TicoBroncoFan
strandoftds82
7bronco1fan9
alaskanbronco06
legionOfVonDoom
Zenmastert
tlcat06
still1972
oldsouthstander
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POINTS
14
10
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
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Tags: Official Broncos Blog Scoring Contest, Week 6
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Moving on to SD…
I think it is safe to say that Manning is going to inflict his will on the SD defense. SD is beat up or lacking talent in the secondary and our offense has too many aerial weapons. In fact, DMT could break the 200 yard recieving mark (bold statement I know but the potential is truely there this week). I am also patiently waiting for the breakout game from Hillman. It’s there like a tiger in the grass just waiting to pounce.
Anyway, we all know this offense can play against the best defenses in the NFL and have success.
The real question is…can we stop the Chargers offense? Short answer is YES! This game will be much like the Oakland game. JDR will release the Wolves.
This Chargers offense is not what it use to be. It runs the same scheme that it has since norv turner was coach but is lacking some of the old talent that was LT and Vincent Jackson. The scheme has always been to run the ball well enough to draw the safeties into the box and then burn you deep. After the deep burn, hit you with the screen. Its been effective for a long time but more so when SD had the talent to hurt you with it even when you knew about it. That won’t work like it use too.
Key will be to stop the run without needing the safety help. If the safeties never have to cheat up in run support then Rivers never gets the ability to launch one deep. If he tries to do it anyway as a threat or to try to set up a screen later on, our safeties will capitilize.
Again though, another NFL team and another tough TE. Gates is aging but still a beast and Denver will have trouble stopping any pass between the hash marks for the remainder of the season. That also means having troubles on third and long situations, get use to it.
I encourage you all to read this wiki…http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_football_coverage_shells
For this game our best bets are using Cover 3 and Cover 6 based on the schemes that SD likes to run. there are disadvantages but Denver’s speed may allow them to midigate those to some degree.
We got burned by the quick timing routes of Welker and Brady, that doesn’t exist in the SD offense. The slants and timing routes are tough to defend but it takes lots of practice to perfect them the way Brady has. That just isn’t something Rivers does or practices much.
If you are looking for improvement in the sack numbers from Denver’s defense, this is the game!
I love the tiger in the grass anaology! Good analysis, but what about the SD pass rush? I could see them try to bring the heat on Monday. They may have lost Vincent Jackson, but they have Meachem, Floyd, and Royal to deal with.
I think we have to double team Gates and let Champ and Porter play one on one with the WRs,I think they can cover Meachum and Floyd,with Harris singled up on Royal!!!
Our Corners are better than their WRs…but Gates can rip us a new one,so we double him,imo!
One other thing,we need to start jamming the WRs at the LOS,quit letting them get off free!
I love Royal but he has always struggled to find the hole in a zone coverage. Meachem is talented but not VJ talented.
Manning has been working hard to develope the timing routes as discussed previously about Brady. What is great about a three step turn and fire type of timing route is it almost completely nigates a pass rush. This is also why Manning and Brady don’t take a lot of sacks. Getting the ball out in 1.5 to 2 seconds makes even the worst of O Linemen look good.
BTW our Oline has improved a lot since last year, especially Franklin and Beatles (i would say Walton too but he is now hurt, he had improved too though)
SEC, I think more jamming would have been good last week but I don’t see the need this week.
On average, an NFL sack occurs at 2.7 seconds. Panning hardly ever holds the ball that long even on intermediate of 5 step routes. I don’t fear the SD pass rush and I don’t think Manning does either.
Manning* (guess panning is what happens when I don’t commit to saying Peyton or saying Manning)
RH709,I think jamming the WRs is necessary every week,it makes the QB have to hold the football longer,which equals more sacks and ints for the Defense,jmho!
Lets say, as an offense, you set up a 4 deep cover two beater. The offense is set up in 11 personnel, 2×2, TE to the offensive right. Defense lines up with 2 high safeties and CBs 4 yards off LOS. From the QB perspective it looks like the 4 deep routes is the right call. Qb is salivating cause he knows the is going to stress the safeties to the outside speed recievers and one of the guys running up the hash marks will end up open.
Say the corners stay put and try to jam the recievers off the line. The 5 guys rush the QB. The WRs shake the CBs in under 1.5 seconds. The RB picks up the 5th rusher pretty good. at 2 to 2.5 seconds the QB finishes his 7 step drop. The CBs are out of postion trailing the WRs. This further stresses the safeties cause now 2 safeties have to cover 4 recievers. The slightly slower TE is trailing just a little and the safeties head outside to cover the top side of the speedy WRs. Pass deep up the hashmarks complete to the TE for 40 to 60 yards.
Thing is, the play call dictates jamming a reiever or not. In this case the defensive call was really cover 6 in a cover 2 shell but by playing close to the line and jamming the reciever the CB to the open side of the field was way way out of his designated position which was the deep 1/3 of the field to the open side.
Not hatin on ya SEC, just trying to give you an example about how play call and scheme dictate what the CB does. I fully agree that against NE and the quick slants, more jamming should have taken place. Maybe not from the CB’s but from the nickle corner (Harris, looking at you against Welker).
I’m nowhere near sold on our D so my prediction is….
Broncos: 31
Chargers: 37
Another slow start by the offense, with a fight to get back in it, and our D not stopping the Chargers on what else… a critical 3rd down.
Can anyone please explain to me why we never defer to the 2nd half when we win the toss?? That always irks my nerves!!
I prefer to defer as well. However, I think the big thought process is that if you can get the ball and score the first points you put the other team in the position to play catchup. Like this…if you trust your offense let them get the ball first, if you trust your defense then let them get the first crack.
I trust our O bc of Manning but my thoughts have always been if you win the toss kick off. Then you get the ball to start the second half with the chance to add more points if you have the lead, or add points if you’re down.